Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RUNE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-12 2.961464 3.482621 4.037124 4.667857 5.362247 6.100378 6.941269
2025-01-19 2.111301 2.805159 3.601279 4.568481 5.698127 6.962896 8.472978
2025-01-26 1.616313 2.410823 3.387397 4.642702 6.180868 7.973611 10.190031
2025-02-02 1.263048 2.109020 3.218427 4.717870 6.631552 8.936397 11.865702
2025-02-09 0.935424 1.768184 2.937698 4.599860 6.805777 9.544766 13.113704
2025-02-16 0.691820 1.490072 2.691468 4.483047 6.947614 10.091861 14.278528
2025-02-23 0.536703 1.311231 2.554097 4.487590 7.229569 10.806867 15.654234
2025-03-02 0.398753 1.124506 2.373383 4.403286 7.371064 11.328493 16.781710
2025-03-09 0.337168 1.063107 2.379160 4.586220 7.881858 12.342137 18.557606
2025-03-16 0.259732 0.946286 2.274198 4.585690 8.122846 12.991561 19.862336
2025-03-23 0.227329 0.919647 2.320379 4.820196 8.707255 14.116051 21.810485
2025-03-30 0.194598 0.882093 2.340307 5.009481 9.226622 15.157836 23.661783
2025-04-06 0.154448 0.813131 2.295829 5.094692 9.601511 16.020277 25.307483
2025-04-13 0.110657 0.712828 2.174815 5.039994 9.758777 16.578789 26.550987
2025-04-20 0.086720 0.662742 2.148027 5.143271 10.159736 17.488437 28.286649
2025-04-27 0.066801 0.614783 2.117665 5.235103 10.541625 18.374166 29.998573
2025-05-04 0.042153 0.524899 1.977100 5.113592 10.575002 18.751087 31.005763
2025-05-11 0.024810 0.445371 1.843427 4.990407 10.595056 19.102531 31.976267
2025-05-18 0.015748 0.398470 1.780952 4.996388 10.823480 19.762198 33.386145
2025-05-25 0.008095 0.340369 1.675202 4.906199 10.883987 20.167816 34.436623
2025-06-01 0.006103 0.333021 1.710600 5.103197 11.435436 21.320934 36.567642
2025-06-08 0.003049 0.296710 1.653089 5.102739 11.646096 21.957926 37.962798
2025-06-15 0.002409 0.298774 1.714063 5.354770 12.299469 23.279551 40.358666